The Americas | Bello

Why Mexico has not become more prosperous—and how it could

Its misshapen economy suffers from too much “destructive creation”

ONE of the main reasons for the landslide victory of Andrés Manuel López Obrador, a left-winger, in this month’s presidential election in Mexico was the country’s mediocre economy. Between 1995 and 2015 real GDP per person increased by an annual average of 1.2%, less than in any Latin American country except Venezuela (see chart). Take into account the swelling labour force, and Mexico looks even worse: GDP per worker expanded by just 0.4% a year, while total factor productivity (a measure of the economy’s efficiency) barely grew. What makes this puzzling is that Mexico has embraced economic orthodoxy: sound monetary and fiscal policy, open trade, investment in education and, more recently, improved competition policy.

This article appeared in the The Americas section of the print edition under the headline "A misshapen economy"

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